Golden Globe Predictions

It’s the greatest time of year. Awards season! We kick things off with the most unpredictable show… the Golden Globes air tonight on CBS and Paramount+. Remember last year when the Hollywood Foreign Press was made up of a whole new group of voters? Well this year, it’s also a new group of voters, which means making predictions for Globe winners is a tricky business. But here I go!

Best Motion Picture, Drama

I’m going with the safe choice. Oppenheimer was released way back in July, so it’s lost a bit of momentum compared to fresher releases in this category like Killers of the Flower Moon and Maestro. But Oppenheimer is an impressive biopic from Christopher Nolan that’s sure to be an awards season darling.

Prediction: Oppenheimer

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy

The other half of the Barbenheimer equation! Biggest competition here is Poor Things and The Holdovers, but if Barbie is going to win a big award anywhere, it’s most likely going to happen here.

Prediction: Barbie

Best Director, Motion Picture

Bradley Cooper? Martin Scorsese? One of the TWO women nominated (yay to Greta Gerwig and Celine Song)? I’m going with my Best Picture (Drama) pick on  this one.

Prediction: Christopher Nolan — Oppenheimer

Best Screenplay, Motion Picture

The Oscars made a big announcement earlier this week, placing Barbie’s screenplay in the Adapted category, instead of Original, where its been campaigning. But everyone is in one category here! I have gone back and forth on my selection here! Let’s see if Greta Gerwig and her husband can take this one home.

Prediction: Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach — Barbie

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Continuing my Oppenheimer trend… I’m going with the man with the hat and the titular role.

Prediction: Cillian Murphy — Oppenheimer

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Here’s where I’m betting on a win for Killers of the Flower Moon. Lily Gladstone has received a ton of buzz for her leading role and has already picked up several smaller award show wins.

Prediction: Lily Gladstone — Killers of the Flower Moon

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

This is a lock. If Emma doesn’t win, there’s no telling where the night has gone!

Prediction: Emma Stone – Poor Things

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

This likely comes down to Paul Giamatti or Jeffrey Wright, but I think the Golden Globes will likely go with Giamatti here, potentially building momentum for what some are wondering will be an awards season resurgence for The Holdovers.

Prediction: Paul Giamatti — The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture

Probably wishful thinking on my part, but I think if Ryan Gosling gets a win, it’s going to happen here. And think of the speech he would give! This category promises to be very interesting. You’ve got a purely comedic performance with Gosling’s Ken. The person with all of the Oscar buzz back in July, Robert Downey Jr. A breakout favorite in Charles Melton. I can’t speak to William Dafoe and Mark Ruffalo in Poor Things or to Robert DeNiro in Killers of the Flower Moon (yet), but they’re obviously heavy hitters who deliver strong performances in their respective films. If Gosling loses, I think it’ll be Melton’s win.

Prediction: Ryan Gosling — Barbie

Best Supporting Actress, Motion Picture

Da’Vine Joy Randolph, who you may know from Only Murders in the Building, is so heartbreakingly wonderful in The Holdovers. She’s starting to pick up more and more award show buzz and I think she’ll take this one home.

Prediction: Da’Vine Joy Randolph — The Holdovers

Best Television Series, Drama

Did you forget there’s TV too? Did you forget that we haven’t showered Succession with awards for its final season?

Prediction: Succession

Best Television Series, Musical or Comedy

I *think* this comes down to The Bear and Abbott Elementary, but I saw a Vanity Fair article predicting that Amazon’s Jury Duty would pull out a win here. So who knows what might happen! Last year Abbott Elementary beat out The Bear, and even though The Bear’s second season was (in my opinion) stronger than its first, I still think Abbott goes home with the gold.

Prediction: Abbott Elementary

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series, Drama

I haven’t seen The Last of Us, and I’m sure that Pedro Pascal is just incredible, but I would really love to see Kieran Culkin take this one home for his outstanding performance in the final season of Succession. In perhaps an ominous sign of things to come, I just realized I accidentally marked Pascal instead of Culkin as a winner in my prediction spreadsheet… putting it correctly for the record here:

Prediction: Kieran Culkin — Succession

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series, Drama

Sarah Snook has been so fun to watch throughout Succession’s entire run but there’s something extra special about her performance in these last few episodes.

Prediction: Sarah Snook — Succession

Best Actress in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy

It’s Ayo Edebiri’s year! Her toughest competition will be Quinta Brunson, who ironically plays her sister on Abbott Elementary.

Prediction: Ayo Edebiri — The Bear

Best Actor in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy

With Ted Lasso delivering a terrible final season, voters likely split between Steve Martin and Martin Short for Only Murders in the Building, no one watching Shrinking (I did! I swear!) and Barry losing any sense of momentum due to long breaks between seasons, this should be a win for Jeremy Allen White.

Prediction: Jeremy Allen White — The Bear

Best Supporting Actor, Television

Like its movie counterpart, I could see this category going in a couple of different directions. Matthew Macfadyen is consistently great on Succession. Ebon Moss-Bachrach broke out from the rest of the ensemble in season two of The Bear. And there’s the dark horse pick of James Marsden if the voters are feeling like rewarding Jury Duty.

Prediction: Ebon Moss-Bachrach — The Bear

Best Supporting Actress, Television

I’m not very confident in this selection but I tend bet on Meryl by default. I’ve seen some outlets predicting another Hannah Waddingham win here but I’m still so annoyed with the final season of Ted Lasso that I can’t bring myself to predict it will pick up any awards.

Prediction: Meryl Streep — Only Murders in the Building

Best Limited Series, Anthology Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Prediction: Beef

Best Performance by an Actor, Limited Series, Anthology Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Prediction: Steven Yeun — Beef

Best Performance by an Actress, Limited Series, Anthology Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Prediction: Riley Keough — Daisy Jones & the Six

Best Original Score, Motion Picture

Prediction: Ludwig Göransson — Oppenheimer

Best Picture, Non-English Language

Prediction: Anatomy of a Fall — France

Best Original Song, Motion Picture

Prediction: What Was I Made For? by Billie Eilish and Finneas — Barbie

Best Motion Picture, Animated

Prediction: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy or Television

Prediction: Trevor Noah — Trevor Noah: Where Was I

Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

How is this award being decided? By numbers? By vibes? No one knows! This *should* go to Barbie (based on numbers and vibes), but I’m predicting a Taylor Swift upset here. She’s going to be at the ceremony. It’s the only concert film nominated against movies. And it’s a flashy choice for this first-time award.

Prediction: Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour